- Odds Of Flopping A Set Without A Pocket Pair
- Texas Hold'em Set
- Hitting Set
- Odds Of Flopping A Straight
- Probability Of Flopping A Set
- Odds Of Flopping A Flush
- The probability of hitting a Set with pocket pairs increases to 18% from 11.8%, and the probability of hitting an open-ended Straight by the River also increases to 48% in 6+ Hold’em compared with 31.5% in traditional Hold’em. Let’s now have a look at some of the pre-flop all-in hand situations.
- The question is - what are the odds of flopping a set? When you hold a pocket pair, the odds of flopping a set are 7.5-1, or roughly 12%. It's important to know the odds, as many people will try to 'set mine' when playing Texas Hold'em. This means that you are calling pre-flop bets with your pocket pair, hoping to hit a.
Apparently the odds of flopping a flush draw are 10.94% for suited connectors and 10.45% for hitting an 8-out (open-ended, I don't know about double gut-shot) straight draw. Could someone point to a resource or do it by themselves where they explain the odds of hitting either a flush draw or a straight draw or both. There are three cards on the flop, so three cards will be drawn from a total of 50 cards (we hold two of them in our hand already.) You have 7.5:1 odds of flopping a set (or quads). Catching set by the river with any two paired cards?
The following Texas Holdem odds table highlights some common probabilities that you may encounter in Hold'em. It is not vital that you learn these probabilities, but it is useful to be aware of the chances of certain situations arising.
Texas Hold'em odds chart.
Situation | Percentage Odds | Ratio Odds |
---|---|---|
Preflop Probabilities: | ||
Dealt AA. | 0.45% | 220 to 1 |
Dealt AK. | 1.2% | 82 to 1 |
Dealt AKs. | 0.3% | 331 to 1 |
Dealt 72o. | 0.9% | 109 to 1 |
Being dealt AA vs. KK (heads up). | 0.004% | 22,559 to 1 |
Dealt a pocket pair. | 6% | 16 to 1 |
Dealt suited connectors. | 4% | 24 to 1 |
Flop Probabilities: | ||
Flopping a pair. | 32.4% | 2.2 to 1 |
Flopping a set (with pockets). | 11.8% | 7.5 to 1 |
Paired Board: | ||
2 players, probability of trips. | 17% | 4.8 to 1 |
3 players, probability of trips. | 26% | 3 to 1 |
4 players, probability of trips. | 34% | 2 to 1 |
5 players, probability of trips. | 43% | 1.4 to 1 |
How to use Texas Hold'em odds.
The odds in this Texas Hold'em odds table are unlikely to directly help your overall strategy, but they are pretty interesting nonetheless. The Texas Hold'em odds for each of the different situations have been given in both percentage and ratio odds, so use whichever format you feel comfortable with.
Other poker odds charts.
For more useful odds charts that you can use for when you are working out whether or not to call when on a drawing hand, use the following tables:
Both of these tables give the odds for completing your draw depending on how many outs you have. You can find out more on how to work out odds and all that mathematical stuff in the article on pot odds.
Go back to the poker odds charts.
Odds Of Flopping A Set Without A Pocket Pair
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Odds Of Flopping A Straight
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Chances of hitting, flopping and holding certain hands
These odds are a must know if you want to advance your game to a high level. For exact odds you can check out our poker hand odds calculator. We rounded the number to the nearest decimal for you.
You should know what beats what in poker before trying to apply these odds or playing like you see poker on tv and in commercials.
Probability Of Flopping A Set
Scenarios – Chances of Having Certain Hands | Examples | Probability | ||
Chances of Being Dealt | ||||
Pair | 6h 6d | 6% | ||
Suited Cards | Ah 10h | 24% | ||
Connecting Suits | 2d 3d | 4% | ||
Aces or Kings | AA KK | .9% | ||
Ace King | AhKs | 1.2% | ||
Ace King Suited | AhKh | .3% | ||
An Ace | A3 | 16% | ||
Cards Jacks or Higher not Paired | KJ | 9% | ||
Not Suited & Not Connected | 9h 4s | .9% | ||
Bad Beats | ||||
Bad Beat ex: Aces vs Kings heads up | AA vs KK | .004% | ||
Chances of Hitting on Flop | ||||
Pocket Pair Into A Set | JJ into JJJ | 8% | ||
Pair Turning Into A Set On Turn | 4% | |||
Hitting Pair on Flop | 32% | |||
Flopping Four To Flush-You hold 6h7h-flop comes-> | Ah Kh 2s | 11% | ||
Chances of Board Coming All Same | 5h 5s 5d | .004% | ||
Number of Players To Flop Odds | ||||
Situation – Chances someone hit top pair on board | ||||
5 players see flop | 58% | |||
4 players see flop | 47% | |||
3 player see flop | 35% | |||
2 player see flop | 23% | |||
After Flop – Chances of Making Hand | ||||
Making open straight – You hold 67 Flop comes 8,9,2 | turn 10 | 34% | ||
Two pair to full house – You- 47 Board 4,7,10 Turn –> | 7 | 17% | ||
Hitting A Gut Shot Straight | 17% | |||
Backdoor Flush – You have 1 spade – Board 2s4h8s | 10s 7s | 4% | ||
Runner Runner Straight | 1.5% | |||
Hitting Either Gut Shot Straight or Backdoor Flush | 21% | |||
Pairing An Ace on Turn or River | 13% | |||
Before Any Cards Are Dealt – Chances of Getting | ||||
Royal Flush (All Spades) | AKQJ10 | .0002% | ||
Straight Flush (Any same suits) | 56789 | .0012% | ||
Four of a Kind (Quads) | 5555K | .0239% | ||
Full House (Boat) | 33322 | .144% | ||
Flush (all same suit) =>all hearts | 37K48 | .19% | ||
Straight | 34567 | .35% | ||
Three of a Kind | 555AK | 2.11% | ||
Two Pair | AAKK2 | 4.7% | ||
One Pair | 77253 | 42% | ||
Don’t catch anything | 2854K | 50% |
Why Poker Odds Matter
Why Odds Matter To any good Texas Holdem players these odds come naturally. They may not know the exact percentage but they instinctively know their odds. Referencing this table is a great way to understand your percentages if you are a new player or if you want to calculate your pot odds.
Odds Of Flopping A Flush
We developed what we believe are the best formulas for calculating pot odds that you will find on the internet. It is the same way the pros calculate their pot odds and we also simplified it for those of you who are not that good at math. Check out the Pot Odds section.